Considering that most of the political pundits we are tracking have not yet met the 25-call threshold to receive a letter grade, we figured we would take a quick look at the pundits in aggregate.
Here is the data on a collective basis for the 24 pundits we have on the site:
# of Calls Graded: 203
# of Calls Correct: 116
Hit Rate: 57%
Average Boldness: LOW
Letter Grade: D+
(As far as our letter grades go, C is average and means the pundit’s predictions have been no better or worse than the consensus view at the time).
These grades may change materially once the election predictions are graded in November. A post on these predictions will be coming shortly.
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