We started tracking Michelle Goldberg of The Daily Beast in 2012, when she made her prediction list for 2012. Let’s take a look at how Goldberg’s calls are shaping up. Goldberg had a 50% hit rate, but the calls she got right were not very bold, resulting in a subpar yield.
| Prediction | Boldness | Outcome |
|---|---|---|
| Ron Paul will win the Iowa caucuses | Medium | FALSE |
| Mitt Romney will win the Republican nomination | Medium-Low | TRUE |
| Obama will win the election | Medium | TRUE |
| Elizabeth Warren will be the new senator in Massachusetts | Low | TRUE |
| The Syrian regime will fall in 2012 | Medium | UNLIKELY |
| Herman Cain will get a contract with Fox in 2012 | Medium | UNLIKELY |
Likely Tally: 3 for 6, $0.75 Yield
For a full breakdown of Goldberg’s predictions, click here for her PunditTracker profile page.
We are now tracking more than 120 pundits on PunditTracker.com. With the 2013 Predictions rolling in, check out all the latest predictions and enter the PT Challenge to compete with the “experts” and win prizes. If you have suggestions for new pundits for us to track, please let us know.
