Grading Michelle Goldberg’s Predictions for 2012

December 17, 2012  |  Politics

We started tracking Michelle Goldberg of The Daily Beast in 2012, when she made her prediction list for 2012. Let’s take a look at how Goldberg’s calls are shaping up. Goldberg had a 50% hit rate, but the calls she got right were not very bold, resulting in a subpar yield.

PredictionBoldnessOutcome
Ron Paul will win the Iowa caucusesMediumFALSE
Mitt Romney will win the Republican nominationMedium-LowTRUE
Obama will win the electionMediumTRUE
Elizabeth Warren will be the new senator in MassachusettsLowTRUE
The Syrian regime will fall in 2012MediumUNLIKELY
Herman Cain will get a contract with Fox in 2012MediumUNLIKELY

Likely Tally: 3 for 6, $0.75 Yield

For a full breakdown of Goldberg’s predictions, click here for her PunditTracker profile page.

 

We are now tracking more than 120 pundits on PunditTracker.com. With the 2013 Predictions rolling in, check out all the latest predictions and enter the PT Challenge to compete with the “experts” and win prizes. If you have suggestions for new pundits for us to track, please let us know.


Comments

comments

 


Leave a Reply

Current month ye@r day *

  1. Have a pundit you would like us to track? Or some general feedback on the site? Let us know!