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What do you think? Make your own picks here and we will grade you after the season:

Mark Schlereth’s PunditTracker Profile (use the Vote Now buttons)

Here are the video links to his picks:

AFC

NFC

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Since we began tracking him in late 2012, Munster has gone 9 for 15 with his predictions for a $0.82 yield, resulting in an F grade. Visit Gene Munster’s PunditTracker Profile page (click here) to see his other predictions, many of which are still open for voting (we grade you on your votes afterwards!). Munster continues to call for both a TV and watch, although as time passes, his timelines steadily get pushed back.

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Link to John McLaughlin’s PunditTracker Profile (vote here)

Link to McLaughlin’s Prediction

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Link to Eleanor Clift’s PunditTracker Profile (vote here)

Link to Clift’s Prediction

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The pundit’s name? John Hollinger.

Hollinger joined the front office of the Memphis Grizzlies last December but not before making his preseason selections. While all but one of ESPN’s 35 ‘experts’ picked the Heat to make the Finals, Hollinger was alone in picking the Spurs, which is mildly surprising given that Vegas pegged the Spurs’ odds at about 14%. Here is a summary of the collective picks along with the corresponding Vegas odds at the time.

Matchup	# of Pundits	% of Pundits	Vegas Odds
MIA-LAL	24	69%	36%
MIA-OKC	9	26%	23%
MIA-SA	1	3%	9%
BOS-LAL	1	3%	8%

For the individual picks of each of the pundits, click here.

So what is the prognosticating class saying about the Finals? Well, let’s first take a look at how they have done this playoffs so far. Here is a recap of how the pundits collectively fared in each series:

Matchup	Hit Rate #	Hit Rate %	Vegas Odds	Comments
Heat-Bucks	33/33	100%	97%
Pacers-Hawks	32/33	97%	78%	Henry Abbott (ESPN) Wrong
Bulls-Nets	15/35	43%	44%
Knicks-Celtics	34/35	97%	75%	Chris Forsberg (ESPN) Wrong
Thunder-Rockets	33/33	100%	93%
Spurs-Lakers	34/35	97%	86%	Amin Elhassan (ESPN) Wrong
Warriors-Nuggets	2/33	6%	23%	Ken Berger (ESPN) & Chris Mannix (SI) Right
Grizzlies-Clippers	8/31	26%	38%
Heat-Bulls	22/22	100%	88%
Pacers-Knicks	6/21	29%	39%
Grizzlies-Thunder	19/21	90%	55%	Bradford Doolittle (ESPN) & Ian Thomsen (SI) Wrong
Spurs-Warriors	21/22	95%	87%	Adry Torres (ESPN) Wrong
Heat-Pacers	23/23	100%	83%
Spurs-Grizzlies	15/23	65%	63%

As has been the case in each of the past four playoffs, there have been four upsets so far this year: Bulls/Nets, Warriors/Nuggets, Grizzlies/Clippers, and Pacers/Knicks.

We have tracked 13 pundits from ESPN and CBS Sports who have made predictions for each of the fifteen playoff series this year. Here are their rankings by Yield — which is the average payout had you bet $1 on each of their predictions — along with their predictions for the Finals. You can make your own predictions for both the Series and Game 1 (plus other propositions) by visiting PunditTracker’s NBA page (click here) and using the “Vote Now” buttons. We will grade you afterwards.

Pundit	Hit Rate	Yield	Prediction
Ken Berger, CBS	11/14	$1.22	Spurs in 6
Amin Elhassan, ESPN	11/14	$1.18	Spurs in 6
Michael Wallace, ESPN	11/14	$1.10	Heat in 7
Tom Haberstroh, ESPN	11/14	$1.10	Heat in 7
Zach Harper, CBS	11/14	$1.10	Heat in 7
Kevin Pelton, ESPN	11/14	$1.08	Heat in 7
Kevin Arnovitz, ESPN	11/14	$1.08	Heat in 7
J.A. Adande, ESPN	11/14	$1.08	Heat in 7
Henry Abbott, ESPN	10/14	$1.06	Heat in 7
Royce Young, CBS	10/14	$0.96	Spurs in 7
Brian Windhorst, ESPN	10/14	$0.95	Heat in 7
Israel Gutierrez, ESPN	10/14	$0.91	Heat in 6
Vegas Favorites	10/14	$0.91	Heat in 5 or 7
Matt Moore, CBS	9/14	$0.80	Heat in 6

The group has had a decent showing so far, with nine of the thirteen returning a positive yield. Ken Berger of CBS Sports has turned in the best performance, thanks mostly to his pick of the Warriors to beat the Nuggets. ESPN’s Amin Elhassan is #2, buoyed by his picks of the Bulls to beat the Nets and Pacers to beat the Knicks, which more than offset his unfortunate prediction of the Lakers to beat the Spurs. Matt Moore of CBS sits at the bottom of the rankings.

Finally, here are the 16 NBA Playoff Pundits that have Profile Pages on PunditTracker because they have made at least 25 predictions, ranked by their cumulative performance over the past four playoffs:

Pundit	2009-10	2010-11	2011-12	2012-13	Cumulative	Predictions
David Thorpe, ESPN	$1.22	$0.83	$1.25	$1.15	$1.11	Heat in 6
Tim Legler, ESPN	$1.29	$0.68	$1.09	$1.45	$1.11	Spurs in 6
Jon Barry, ESPN		$1.39	$1.09	$0.94	$1.09	Heat in 7
Tom Haberstroh, ESPN		$0.53	$1.23	$1.10	$1.08	Heat in 7
John Hollinger, ESPN	$1.25	$0.88	$1.06		$1.07
Ken Berger, CBS			$0.90	$1.22	$1.06	Spurs in 6
Kevin Arnovitz, ESPN		$0.94	$1.09	$1.08	$1.04	Heat in 7
Henry Abbott, ESPN	$1.14	$0.88	$1.09	$1.06	$1.04	Heat in 7
Chris Broussard, ESPN	$1.17	$0.98	$1.09	$0.79	$1.03
J.A. Adande, ESPN	$0.76	$1.16	$1.06	$1.08	$1.01	Heat in 7
Israel Gutierrez, ESPN		$0.00	$1.17	$0.91	$1.01	Heat in 6
Royce Young, CBS			$1.03	$0.96	$1.00	Spurs in 7
Chad Ford, ESPN	$1.05	$0.67	$0.98	$1.26	$0.98	Heat in 7
Vegas Favorites	$0.99	$1.00	$0.90	$0.91	$0.95	Heat in 5 or 7
Marc Stein, ESPN	$0.77	$0.95	$0.90	$0.80	$0.86	Spurs in 6
Matt Moore, CBS			$0.91	$0.80	$0.86	Heat in 6
Michael Wilbon, ESPN		$0.72	$0.86	$1.02	$0.84

We will update all the rankings after the Finals.

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Link to Rich Lowry’s PunditTracker Profile (where you can vote) 

Link to Lowry’s Prediction

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Link to Nouriel’s Roubini’s PunditTracker Profile (vote here)

Link to Roubini’s Prediction (CNBC Interview)

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<< RFE/RL: Do you expect the euro crisis to drag out for weeks, months, years?

Krugman: Well months, not weeks. Even Greece probably won’t be settled one way or the other that quickly. But if Greece [leaves the eurozone], as I expect it will — which is probably something that will take place in months — then the moment of truth will come to the rest of the eurozone quite quickly. So I would be surprised if we don’t have a pretty clear resolution one way or the other within a year. >>

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